Second Order/ stocks
← All runs·Jun 10, 2026
SMR
SMR
SELL

Below both MAs, confirmed downtrend

P(upside)40%
coin-flip = 50%
Conviction0.50
Horizon2-6 weeks
ResolutionPending graded vs the realized move

Price

Price at analysis
$9.74
Now
$9.55
Since analysis
-2.0%

The case

● Bull — what supports it

NuScale is the only NRC-approved SMR design; DOE/utility interest in data-center power.

● Bear — what refutes it

-26.7% month, below both MAs, ADX 29 down, pre-revenue, 12% ATR; China AI-efficiency fears hit SMR thesis.

What would change our mind

Drake commits in advance to what would prove this call wrong — falsifiers, not hindsight.

  • Reclaim of 50DMA + a firm new SMR order.

The verdict

Sector analyst (Drake panel)bearish
conviction 0.50
  • Below both MAs, confirmed downtrend
  • Pre-revenue SMR caught in nuclear de-rating
Risks: -26.7% month, below both MAs, ADX 29 down, pre-revenue, 12% ATR; China AI-efficiency fears hit SMR thesis.
Analyzed Jun 10, 2026 Resolves Jul 10, 2026 Schema v3 Run 7d57203b3096c3d3 Engine Drake · synthesized panel

Forward-only: this call is graded against the future, on its resolution date — never backfilled. This run carries a single synthesized panel verdict; multi-specialist runs list each view above.