Second Order/ stocks
← All runs·Jun 10, 2026
SPIR
SPIR
HOLD

Below 50DMA, momentum negative

P(upside)42%
coin-flip = 50%
Conviction0.42
Horizon2-6 weeks
ResolutionPending graded vs the realized move

Price

Price at analysis
$16.39

The case

● Bull — what supports it

Above 200DMA, +48.5% 3mo; space-data/weather and maritime intelligence niche.

● Bear — what refutes it

Below 50DMA, RSI 33, -12.2% on month, ADX 32 down; small-cap, thin, 13% ATR.

What would change our mind

Drake commits in advance to what would prove this call wrong — falsifiers, not hindsight.

  • Hold above reclaimed 50DMA.

The verdict

Sector analyst (Drake panel)neutral
conviction 0.42
  • Below 50DMA, momentum negative
  • Speculative small-cap in sector-wide selloff
Risks: Below 50DMA, RSI 33, -12.2% on month, ADX 32 down; small-cap, thin, 13% ATR.
Analyzed Jun 10, 2026 Resolves Jul 10, 2026 Schema v3 Run 955a9ebcb1e6d17e Engine Drake · synthesized panel

Forward-only: this call is graded against the future, on its resolution date — never backfilled. This run carries a single synthesized panel verdict; multi-specialist runs list each view above.